"Get out of bank stocks and other stocks immediately."
"Liquidate any and all stocks and mutual funds with exposure to Asia, Latin America and the rest of the Third World.
"Those economies will be pulverized by Y2K." Many bank stocks are connected to third world corporations; when they go down, the bank stocks are toast, and so is your money.
Get rid of airline stocks and utility stocks. Five major airlines have a "no fly" zone for Y2K covering Asia, South America, Africa, most of Europe and even part of the U.S. The radar and air-traffic controller systems cannot reliably be guaranteed during this time.
Whether they fall from the sky or not, is not the issue here--most definitely not. They will suffer staggering losses from their earnings. The airline high flying-stocks will crash and burn. Using Weiss' PUT options could make you lots of money on these stocks! Call 1-800-317-6278 for details.
Dr. Gary North, writing in Remnant Review, January 1, 1999, says:
"The airline industry is not compliant. No commercial jet airport is compliant, anywhere on earth. The SABRE reservation system is not compliant. Local travel agencies are not compliant."
And here, he ask the all important question, "Do you think the insurance industry is going to insure these flights in 2000? Not a chance," he says.
"Some companies are backing out now. What airline company's Board of Trustees will take the liability of ordering its planes to fly uninsured?
"None.
"So, no planes will be flying a year from now. This will bankrupt the industry [airlines]."
"What happens to the banks that loaned them the money for those airliners?" Weiss seems to have answered this, when he said, "Get out of bank stocks and other stocks immediately."
Incidently, Communist China is forcing its airline executives to be in the air midnight, December 31, 1999, hoping to force them into Y2K compliance. We feel many, if not all, will call in sick that morning.
The Wallflower Stocks:
We had troops in 144 countries last year, according to The Air Force Times, August 3, 1998, p. 31. That means of all the countries on the earth, we have troops in two-thirds of them. They are there to support those countries. What does this mean to you and me?
Each of those 144 governments have enemies ... and now ... their enemies are our enemies too!
Richard Maybury says it succinctly in his U.S. & World Early Warning Report For Investors, February, 1999 [Subscription: U.S. $149/yr; Outside U.S. $169/yr; 1-800-509-5400]:
"No other president has been so enthusiastic about cutting back the very military forces he will need when these new enemies strike back.
"The man [Clinton] conducts his military and foreign policies as if America were still at the height of its military power in the 1950s and '60s.
"In 1955, the US had 26 productions lines turning out jet fighters. Now it has two. Its chief air superority fighter, the F-15, is plagued by shortages of parts including engines (Air Force Times, Jan. 11, 1999, p.62)
"In 1968, the Navy had 930 surface combat ships. Now it has 300. Since 1992, the size of the fleet has been shrunk 31% while the number of perations has increased 26%.
"In 1999, the Pentagon plans to decommission 22 ships including two cruisers, and replace them with five, the largest of which will be destroyers, known as 'tin cans.'
"The Navy no longer has any battleships, and only ten fully operational aircraft carriers, down from 15 in 1991 (Navy Times, Jan. 26, 1998, p.4., Jan. 11, 1999, p.43, Jan. 4, 1999, p.25.)."
What is happening is essentially this: Our present administration is "giving us more enemies and less guns," Maybury writes.
Clinton, he feels, has set the stage to cause us to attacked by a surprise "secret coalition" of enemies he has created. The mainstream media says nothing of this. Maybury says the following:
"I believe a secret alliance against the US has been formed by Iran, Iraq, Syria, Libya, North Korea, China, Pakistan, Chechnya, Serbia, Sudan and the Taliban in Afghanistan. Some hate each other but they hate us more."
Richard Maybury is an expert on this. He has studied the conditions, the situations, and the evolving World War III for years. When it will hit, he doesn't know, but this he is assured of: "a big stock market crash [and an ensuing Great Depression with it] is coming and we cannot know if it will arrive before or after the big war [emphasis and underscoring WebMasters]."
Therefore, you should consider to have in your portfolio, permanently, "a small collection of weapons stocks." Why? You stand to gain if the Big War comes first. If not, you could lose if the stock market craters first instead.
However, our feelings are that if the companies go bankrupt if the stock market fall comes first; then WW III hits soon after, the government will pump so much capital into the arms and weapons manufacturers that those bankrupt companies will re-emerge doing grand business and the market will rise like the Phoenix from the ashes.
If your company does not reorganize and uses the same name, then your defunct, worthless pieces of paper stock in them, may/should re-inflate; however, that money lost may be lost then and not resurrect with them. It is a judgement call.
Nevertheless, you see the problem America is now in. Reduced arms/weapons .... hardly anyone making them .... an all out war will change all that. History has shown this to be so during WW II. Socialists have taught if you want to end a depression, have a war!
Therefore, you now understand why it may be good prudence, according to the heating up world situation, and our downed arms/weapons supply, to be in weapons stocks.
In regard this world situation that is heating up by the moment, Maybury points out, "... on January 9, in response to Clinton's December bombings, the Iraqi parliament voted to reinstate Iraq's claim on Kuwait. This revoked Iraq's 1993 promise to leave Kuwait alone, it was really a declaration of war."
To make matters worse, China has now claimed (May 15, 1996) most of the South China Sea as belonging to them, and annexing areas claimed by Vietnam, Philippines, Taiwan, Brunei, and Malaysia. This includes the Spratly Islands, believed to containe huge oil deposits.
A formal announcement of sovereignty over these islands was made in Washington at the Chinese embassy, January 7, 1999, by He Yafei, a Chinese official.
Many feel, along with Maybury, that China, Russia, Iraq, Iran, etc. could make their move January 1, 2000; then, the Army, Navy, and Air Force are in the throes of their Y2K computer problems. The U.S. is spread so thin, we cannot handle it. Also, much of China's military machine is World War II technology, ours is highly electronic that is dependent upon the system surving Y2K---many feel it won't! Simply put ... they can fight effectively, we may not be able to.
"The 28-nation coalition George Bush sent against Iraq in 1990 is now down to two, the US and ... Britain," writes Maybury in the February, 1999 issue of U.S. & World Early Warning Report For Investors [Subscription: U.S. $149/yr; Outside U.S. $169/yr; 1-800-509-5400].
So, with the above information, you should consider the Wallflower stocks, Maybury says, "Lockheed (LMT), ... it has some of the tightest political connections that funnel money to the industry. Newport News (NNS), the only maker of aircraft carriers." Others to consider, he suggests:
"General Dynamics (GD), Raytheon (RTNA) and helicopter makers United Technologies (UTX) and Textron (TXT)." Maybury plans to buy "Boeing (BA) at $10. All are on the NYSE."
The North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) said in March, 1999, in a report it released, that utility companies would be Y2K "ready."
Now, two leading U. S. Newspapers have debunked that released report as extremely misleading.... but first, what is the NERC? It is a trade association who receives their paychecks from electrical utility companies.....also:
The NERC is an electric research orgainization picked by the U.S. Department of Energy. They have only 30 full-time employees and their job is to coordinate the entire repair project of Y2K for the electric industry.....with only 30 full-time employees? And they have no authority.
The Department of Energy asked the NERC to conduct research and ascertain what the status of the electrical utility industry is concerning Y2K. They issued a rather glowing report that the media, Y2K analysts, and others, are going by, that the American utilities are "ready" for Year 2000.
However, the "Chicago Tribune pointed out that the NERC report 'glosses over more serious problems being found in power plants.'" The article quoted Rick Cowles, America's number one expert on the effects of Y2K electrical power. Seventy-one percent (71%) of America's utilities will not get all of their equipment tested by the target date, he said. This means the utilities companies will not know for sure if their equipment is ready for Y2K or not.
Martin Weiss, writes in Year 2000 Alert, February 23, 1999, that...
"The Boston Globe also debunked the report, noting that '20 out of 66 nuclear-generation facilites in the country (which generate 30% of the nations's electrical power) are expected to miss the remediation deadline."
"THE BOTTOM LINE: Of all US utilities surveyed, only 45% have even completed their assessment of 'information' systems ... and only 34% have completed assessing their computer and microchip-driven controllers.
"Since the work left to do requires more than 70% of a process that has taken other industries a full 36 months to complete, it is now clear that many utilities may be unable to deliver electricity reliably. Although it will not cause a breakdown in the entire power grid, it virtually guarantees a massive drop in their share values and huge potential profits on their put options."
CBN News gives an interview with Rick Cowles and is very enlightening [See: http://www.cbn.org/y2k/cowles.htm]
Cowles points out "every electric company has some really large commercial loads- a steel mill or an oil refinery, a large production facility, big office buildings .... they pay less money for their power because they allow the electric company to cut them off (they have an interruptible contract) if there isn't enough power to go around, or if there are problems in an emergency, such that power must be rationed, since they are bulk users, and at the lowest rates.
"They're the most power intensive. They're the first loads to go when there's a power shortage. Some companies are looking at taking out all of their interruptible power loads on December 31."
Some companies are planning an orderly shutdown of their interruptible power systems on December 31, 1999. You can't just turn off the "juice." If you did, then damage could and would result. It's like putting your car into park before stopping and then turning off the ignition key---something would be burned up, damaged, or break. The shutdown will take several weeks, and in some case, perhaps longer.
There are so many unknowns, the power companies will have to dictate a shutdown to the steel mills, large office complexes, refineries, and the like, when Y2K strikes. This is to conserve power and hopefully, not bring down the power-grid. Some critical systems at these plants would have backup power to allow them to run long enough for an orderly shutdown. The reverse is also evident: You don't just turn on the power with everything set at "GO."
It's like in your home, if everything was plugged into the outlets and turned on when the power went off, when it comes back on, you could reblow the main circuit breaker, because the demand is too high. Most or all appliances demanding electric power must be turned off and then the breaker turned on; then slowly connect each appliance back to the power supply. In many large corporate businesses, it will take weeks or longer to reboot the system, if they have an interruptible contract with the power companties.
Either way, an orderly shutdown and reboot will be necessary for large users of electric power to keep the power-grid from going down, it appears. Some smaller utility companies, Cowles believes, will go bankrupt because of Y2K.
Jim Lord of Y2K Reality Watch (Subscription: $129/1-602-252-4477], Vol. 3 No. 2, Feb. 1999 (www.SurviveY2K.com) believes similar. He says,
"Such a mass shutdown must be carefully managed to prevent disturbances to the grid. Accordingly, the shutdown process will have to be spread out over some time period, as much as several weeks in areas with many interruptible customers.
Lord believes this could mean severe economic disruptions for the stock market, "Communities with a heavy dependence on a large industrial company will be decimated. He further believes "The manufacturing and energy sectors would be hardest hit. Airports and shipping harbors would be included, as well affecting commerce negatively on a very widespread basis."
Your WebMasters feel, because of the backlash and domino effect, many businesses will go out of business and bankruptcies will skyrocket, along with litigation suits.
Lord tends to support this. He says, "Small companies providing goods and services to these big guys would also be heavily impacted. If unprepared, many would be unable to tolerate the slowdown and would go out of business."
Large corporate power users understand this disruption to their systems by the power utility companies because their rates are the cheapest and they are bulk users. During an emergency, they go the first when electric power has to be rationed. Hospitals, emergency service organizatins, police departments, emergency management, fire departments, etc. get all they need that is available, with residents next.
The CBN interview says it best: "So who gets power if there are shortages?"
Interviewer PARKHILL:
"Let's say there are going to be shortages. In other words,
for one reason or another, a power company can only provide 60% or
80% of the power that it had been able to normally. Some people
believe that power is then rationed so that businesses get it first, and
people and homes are kind of at the bottom of power food chain, so to
speak.
COWLES: "No, actually it's inverted. And that's what I was talking about
in terms of those interruptible loads.Your large commercial consumers
of power get a very preferable rate on their electricity for two reasons.
Number one, they use it in bulk quantities, and the second reason is
because they agree to be that interruptible load.
and so on are the last that are going to get cut off."
The Phone System and Electricity
Jim Lord also speaks about the phone system in his February issue, 1999 of Y2K Reality Watch [Subscription: $129/1602-252-4477], he says....
"Many don't realize how the electrical system is totally dependent on the telephone system. The three electrical grids (Eastern, Western and Texan) are monitored and controlled by a network of computers connected together by the phone system.
"No phones -- no grid. The reverse is also true,
"No electricity -- no phones.
"A large-scale failure in either will produce a serious failure in both."
He then quotes the NERC report that supports him in the immediate above, which says:
"Electrical power systems are highly dependent on microwave, telephone, VHF Radio, and satellite communication."
WebMaster's Note:
- The earth has the second portion--which is considered to be stronger than the first that hit last year--of the Leonid Meteor Shower striking the planet later this year, and an ...
- Electromagnetic pulse (solar flares) coming from the sun in the year 2000, beginning in July of this year (1999). The power-grid acts like a giant antenna to attract and conduct this solar energy. Any of and all of this can disrupt satellite communications and electrical transmissions.
Science News, Vol. 155, March 13, 1999, p. 164 writes about the other "Y2K" problem. Sometime next year, the sun is expected to reach the peak of its 11-year activity cycle. ... it will hurl more magnetized clouds of electrically charged gas into space.
"Some of these solar storms, known as coronal mass ejections [CME], may wreak havoc if they plow into the magnetic cocoon surrounding Earth, harming satellites and knocking out power grids (SN: 3/6/99, p.150)."
Science News also reports in the same issue that, "When they hit, these storms can damage satellites, hinder radio communications and set up currents in power lines, telephone cables, and pipelines."
"If the control centers are the "brains" of the electrical grids," Lord says, "communications systems are the 'nervous system,' ... One large electric utility may use as many as 40 to 50 telephone companies in several states."
Lord further says....
"Telecommunications is the Achilles Heel of the electrical grid. .... the electrical industry can't even test this critical component. .... There isn't enough time ... people .... The engineers don't have the training.....not enough equipment....no test plan."
In July "One of the most mysterious of all nature's rhythms --- the 11-year rise and fall of solar activity --- is rising toward a violent climax, and scientists say society has never been more vulnerable," according to The Houston Chronicle; Saturday, March 20, 1999; also see www.sec.noaa.gov or www.spaceweather.com for solar and geomagnetic forecast.
Scientists also say that "since the last 'solar maximum' in 1989, the networks of high-technology communications and satellites have expanded like condos on the beach --- smack in the path of the coming solar 'storms.'"
Vulnerable will be space astronauts on space stations; the power grid across America that acts like a giant attraction for the incoming storms---it could fry the "cross-country transmission lines"; and could even bring down, a possibility, the power grid. The main effects of the solar storm will be at its highest in July and reach its zenith by the early part of 2000 and end in January 2001.
Science News writes in its March 6, 1999 issue, Vol. 155, the following:
"On Aug. 4, 1972, a surge of electricity raced down a telephone cable in the midwestern United States, temporarily snarling long-distance phone service."
It took nearly 30 years for scientists to discover the cause. Canadian scientists say it is the "dark side of the sun's influence on Earth," that created the phone crisis then. It was a phone-cable problem generated by the solar blast at that time.
In 1989 [see Science News, March 6, 1999] "the electromagnetic storms (solar) caused power outages in Quebec and electrical malfunctions along the U.S. East Coast ... the storms caused a sudden intensification of electric currents...."
At that time in March, 1989, when the Hydro-Quebec power grid in Canada was shut down due to the atmospheric surge of electromagnetic energy, 6 million people were left without electrical power for days.
Last May, 1999, Galaxy 4 satellite was knocked out and it is generally felt that this was due to the solar flares (storms) at that time. The disruption lasted for three days, and, according to a March 17, 1999, Reuters article:
"forty million pagers stopped working, television and data broadcasts were disrupted, and many credit card transactions were blocked."
In that article by Reuters, it quotes Michael Lewis, Senior British Y2K planner and deputy chief executive of Britian's Association of Payments and Clearing Systems. He says:
"Solar flares could do damage far beyond anything the Year 2000 [Y2K] could do, and it could hit us on that weekend."
The hight of the coming activity, begining in July, 1999, is expected to be in the late 1999 and early 2000. This is the peak of an 11-year solar flare cycle.
This solar storm has the potential to knock out computers, cell phones, shut down the electric power grid, satellites (first hit by the incoming solar blast), as well as businesses, government offices, schools and homes. Other devices dependent upon electrical and electromagnetic energy could be adversely affected, due to the massive solar storms pummeling our planet---and this also includes the banking system with its electronic transfer of funds, world-wide. The solar storms will be hitting at its peak, beginning in July, lasting through 2000, waning in 2001.
Folks! Get prepared. We feel our lives are about to be changed from a short to a long time:
"Within the next 6 to 8 months, the standard of living will deteriorate rapidly in the "Total Coming Collapse" of our banking system and our technology.
"'The mental defense for this falls on the person, not the state,' and this is determined by how you have prepared physically, which will relate to your mental defense.
"Remember, 'the capacity of defense is the first condition of our [one's] security.'" ---- WebMasters
David J. Meyer, writing in the April, 1999 issue of the Last Trumpet Newsletter, says the following concerning this Electromagnetic Pulse:
"Gigantic 'S' shaped flames in massive numbers have been detected on the sun, which are just beginning to hurl large amounts of electrically charged gas at the earth. The 'S' shapes are called 'sigmoids,' which are known to preclude mass ejections of CMEs or coronal mass ejections. These have the potential to knock out power grids and scramble mass communications. The year 2000 is the strongest in an 11-year cycle of such sigmoids."
The Senate Report and The Phone/Electricity System
The Senate Special Committee on the Year 2000 Technology Problem, spent almost a year on investigating every aspect of the Y2K problem and issued its report recently. The committee was chaired by Senators Robert Bennett (R-Utah) and Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.) [see www.senate.gov/~y2k/] On page 53 of the report they say:
"One-third of all electric power controls, the nation's financial transactions and over 90 % of defense communications rely on the smooth functioning of public telecommunications." (page 53)
John Mauldin, Editor, writing in Issue 5, April 9, 1999, Year 2000 Alert [Subscription: $98/yr (1-800-317-6278] says:
"The Senate also reports that 'telecommunications also make possible the remote control of pipelines and transportation systems like air traffic control.'"
He further points out, "In a recent speech, FCC Commissioner Michael Powell told the press: 'We are guardedly optimistic about the industry as a whole.'"
Now, get this folks! Mauldin continues by writing,
"The press brought the story, along with the claim that the 'nation's biggest phone companies are nearly finished with their Y2K readiness programs.'"
"The headline on that story? "Y2K Won't Tie Up the Line.'" Remember what we said earlier about the glowing summary the media reported on from the NERC and not the data contained in that report--which was something far different!
Mauldin continues: "But anyone with any experience with Y2K knows that 'nearly finished' and 'guardedly optimistic' are classic happy-talk phrases deliberately designed to cover up the dire realities.
"Dig into the guts of the Senate report and you'll see the real story---the one that never made it into the news (which is):"
"Despite carriers' best efforts to correct Y2K problems and carrier assurances that telephone service will be available on January 1, 2000, the FCC, most industry analysts, and even some carrier representatives conceded that some failures are still likely to occur." (Page 56, italics Mauldins.)
"Let's face it:", the editor of Year 2000 Alert writes, "The telecommunications industry is a highly complex and interconnected system. Besides the major carriers, there are 1,400 small- to medium-sized telephone companies, equipment manufacturers who produce routers and switches, and users who have to make sure their own phone equipment is Y2K compliant."
On page 59 of the Senate report, they say:
"Many of the earth stations throughout the world have several hundred pieces of computer equipment from various manufacturers that control their ability to receive telecommunications information. For example, if antenna control units fail, the antenna could not point to the satellite and no information could be sent or received."
The bottom line, Mauldin writes:
"Sure, you may get a dial tone in New York. But that doesn't mean you can call Los Angeles."
And coupled with the fact that the electric system, according to Jim Lord, Mauldin, and others, is necessary for the telecommunications system and vice-versa, we are in for a dilly of a time within the next six to 8 months or more.
Folks! Look at what is staring us in the face and then ask yourself if something is wrong on earth that smells sour in heaven. We have the following coming:
- Powerful solar storms coming our way. More things on earth and above it than ever before to be struck and the potential for devastating problems resulting. Solar Storms hitting at its peak, beginning in July, lasting through 2000, waning in 2001.
- A Total Collapse about to occur in the stock market. Likely dates---besides any moment now---are July, due to Y2K; August 11, 1999--stock market tops with September ushering in a severe decline and a mild rally around mid-September. Then we should see a stock market panic between September 25 and October 9th. During this time, a solar eclipse coincides with the Kondratieff Wave downturns. Approximately 6 major and minor waves all come together, along with the Solar Eclipse, during the same time frame.
History has shown for 300 years that when these mysterious phenomena (cycles and solar eclipse) come together, the stock market CRASHES!
Steve Puetz (pronounced "Pitts") in his July 19, 1999 newsletter [for Subscription call: 765-463-3705] puts it this way:
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August 11: |
Most markets peak. A bear market begins. Investors become increasing concerned about turmoil in the Latin American markets.
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September 1: |
- Isolated markets continue to rise to all-time highs. Sentiment remains high. However, most stocks are well below their August 11 levels.
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September 17: |
- Several days of steep losses end with panic selling. Bond prices dive, and long-term interest rates rise to their highest level in three years. Foreigners begin to question the strength of the US economy. Sparked by this fear, they sell off their Dollar assets. In response, the US Dollar collapses in the foreign exchange markets.
September 24: |
- The markets rebound from the short-term oversold condition of a week earlier. Some confidence returns. Many feel the worst is over.
September 27: |
- Selling resumes. The Latin American situation continues to deteriorate. Selling from margin calls increases. Forced sales take place because speculators run out of funds.
October 8: |
- The crash reaches its climax. As the trading day begins, the Dow is down 6000 points from its August 11 peak. Pandemonium, fear, and hysteria run out of control. The Dow loses another 3000 points, and circuit breakers close the markets prematurely. The bull market is over. The nation slumps into a deep depression. People do not sleep that night. They have lost their paper fortunes.
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When this is over, the Dow will stand somewhere between 1000 and 2000. In a year or two, we see the Dow falling to 500, if not 400---this is the END of the Stock Market as we know it, for a long, long time!
You will not only see people taking their own lives, as in 1933, but you will see them taking other lives because they hold them responsible for their losses. It's coming folks and it's not going to be pretty.
- Y2K
- Very strong likelyhood of a World War III beginning
The Banking System and The Phone/Electrical System
One of the Vice Presidents for AT&T, A. John Pasque, who also heads up the Y2K task force at the company, echos similar to what you just read from the Senate Report, voiced also in Mauldin's Year 2000 Alert, that there are hundreds ("1,400 small- to medium-size telephone companies") independent phone companies that are continuously falling behind the Y2K compliancy schedules compared to AT&T.
Incidently, if these companies are falling behind....falling behind the leaders, then who are the leaders? Because Weiss [Year 2000 Alert, researcher and publisher, in the March 22, 1999, Issue 4. For subscription: 1-800-317-6278; rate: $98/year], says many "'Fortune 500' Y2K Ratings Expose the Reality Behind Corporate "Happy-Talk.'"
Incidently, various research groups, the White House report, the Senate report, and the GAO tell us that for Y2K, business (and this is still not good) is in better shape than the U.S. Government; and, the U.S. Government is in better shape than the rest of the world. And the interconnective of all this has the bankers, and certain members of congress who know what's really going on---not the happy talk we're hearing in the press---really worried.
The General Accounting Office (GAO) is the investigative arm of Congress. They really enjoy their work. They look forward to going to work everyday. Their job is to get the dirt on the government. They owe no allegiance to one group or the other; to no party such as, democrats, republicans, or special interest group---lobbyists, for instance. They are the most reliable and credible research organization you could ask for. They do everything not to be alarmist
On page 3, of their recent report to Congress, Year 2000 Computing Crisis: The Readiness of the Electric Power Industry, they report "About 46% of the bulk power entities reported to the NERC (see earlier explanation of NERC) that they expect to miss the industry Year 2000 readiness target date of June 1999."
What does this mean to business if the power isn't there when needed, I think you know by now. On page 23 of the GAO report, they point out that "a probable scenario" for contingency planning, as suggested by the NERC, would be for a loss of 10% to 15% of power generations, "wire-based voice and data communications, the partial loss of EMS/SCADA (supervisory control and data acquisitional) systems."
In the worst case scenario, the GAO say blackouts, "loss of generating and control facilities, and the loss of fuel supplies." This means much business will have to limp along, if possible. We see huge bankruptcies coming, shortages of supplies, and a resulting chaos in many areas of the country, if not most of America, if the worst case scenario manifest. Dr. Gary North, whom we have spoken of earlier, thinks it will.
Cap Gemini, and others we just pointed out to you, all say and show that the software projects for many of our Fortune 500 companies are now very late in remediation stage. Soon, there will be no time left for them to catch-up.
The more your WebMasters study this Y2K problem, the worst it looks! Considering the Fortune 500 companies (and the Fortune 1000), many are in bad shape, such that John Mauldin, and others, are saying, "Get Out Of Stocks Immediately!"
Capers Jones, the Gartner Group, the Weiss Ratings, and Cap Gemini (the second largest software development and consulting firm in the world, headquartered in France---all tell us, and others too, that mid-size businesses in the U.S are far behind the Fortune 500 companies. Caper Jones says this means a loss of 3,000,000 jobs, and folks, this is coming up soon. The mid-size to small companies are less likely to be done in time, John Mauldin says.
Weiss points out "you may not be able to make a phone call next January..." Companies like MCI, BellSouth, and others are not small independent companies and they may not be able to get your call processed.
On the Weiss Y2K Rating Sheet (based on September 31, 1998 filings with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), BellSouth is rated as Low; Bell Atlantic is rated Average; and MCI pulls a Below Average rating.
.... And AT&T itself? Weiss gives AT&T a rating of Below Average.
New ratings, based on December 31, 1998, SEC filings, --4th quarter, the Weiss Y2K ratings gives a listing of Fortune 1000 stocks--and Bell Atlantic is now rated Below Average. AT&T Corp. is now rated Average.
We strongly suggest you subscribe to his financial research newsletter (see immediate above for subscription; you also get online privy information). He says: "Soon, thousands of mutual fund managers and millions of private investors will see these ratings too--and when they do, they're going to start dumpting the low-rated stocks."
You know what this means, "You should dump them first." You can get his complete ratings of the Fortune 1000 stocks through his excellent newsletter. His people will shortly notify the media, etc. and you'll see a mad rush to dump those low-rated stocks. There is more, you need to get his reports and continuous updates.
Evidence is growing that many phone companies overseas are not and will not be compliant in time. Pasque said the situation is worsening for readiness for the Y2K compliancy for overseas phone companies. Because of the local problem, AT&T has asked the State Department for coordinating world-wide phone networks for potential Y2K problems.
Y2K White House Csar, John Koskinen, says Y2K will only be a "bump in the road," but the FCC
hopes enough is being done world-wide to "ensure there are no significant network disruptions or failures.
The FCC, Federal Communications Commission, contends that nearly half of the smaller, independent phone companies do not have a formal plan for Y2K telecommunication preparations.
Now, Here's the Problem with the Telecommunications And Your Money:
- Approximately some three trillion or more dollars are transferred around the world electronically every day via telecommunications through banks, financial institutions, brokers, markets, and so forth.
- This spells disaster if hundreds of phone companies abroad and at home malfunction. Get the very, very big picture of all this? It could be horrendous. Tie ups, foul-ups, money stops flowing, confusion, confusion, and then possible chaos.
Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG & E) is one of America's largest utility companies that supplies power to one out of every 20 U.S. citizens.
At www.pge.com PG & E says it "has been tackling this issue for several years" [however] "we regret that we are not able to issue any Year 2000 guarantees. ... make your own [italics WebMasters] contingency plans in case communications, transportation, power or financial services may be interrupted by Y2K."
They further add: "No one knows if or how long any of these services might be affected."
This is pretty stiff coming from one of America's largest utility companies in regard to Y2K compliancy. They are to be respected for their honesty!
In the March issue of McAlvany Intelligency Advisor, the editor writes:
"One-third to one-half of U.S businesses will not be Y2K compliant--which will result in the greatest rash of bankruptcies [personal and business], mass job layoffs and bank closures in the year 2000 since the 1930s." ( Source: Reaper, 4/4/99--p.15)
In Journal Science, April 16, 1999, U.S. Senator Robert Bennet says:
"Dire effects are predicted in developing countries---the fears of stockpilers and survivalists in some countries are not totally unfounded: There exists the likelihood of regional economic and civil unrest in regions already experiencing political instability, runaway inflation and food and supply shortages."
Bennett says the U.S. health-care industry, "is one of the worst prepared for Y2K and carries the greatest potential for harm," and Michael Haga, Editor-in Chief, of The Economic Outlook in the May 1999 issue [For Subscription $129/yr; 1-800-323-3523] says, "if heart defibrillators, respirators and other critical devices fail."
However, "Bob Bennett said (in December, 1998) that one of his frustrations was that despite extensive probing and investigations, he still didn't know what to expect of Y2K. It's like an onion, he said: the more layers you peel away, the more your eyes cloud up.
'People lie to us. Or they don't talk to us at all.'
"So if you think you don't have all the facts, you're not alone." ---Source: Countryside, Countdown to Y2K. Part VI, Vol. 83. No.3 May/June, 1999. Subscriptions: $18/yr. 1-800-551-5691.
Haga continues: "Also lagging are the oil industry, education, agriculture, food processing, construction and, in general, small and medium businesses, according to what Bennett said.
Haga quotes Bennett on the nation's telecommunications system .... "is one of the most Y2K-vulnerable systems, along with electric utilities."
"Folks," Michael Haga writes in the May 1999 issue of The Economic Outlook (1-800-323-3523), "if the power goes down, the banks fail! If the banks fail, it will be chaos. People are in denial today. They refuse to face up to the enormous Y2K problem because they are emotionally committed to the survival of the comfortable way of life we have in America.
"Unfortunately, most people will remain in denial until they cannot escape the worst consequences of the Millenium Bug.
Instead of preparing for the end of the electronic promises to pay, fractional reserve banking system; instead of buying silver coins, people dream of silver linings the stock market boom promises. Instead of buying gold, people dream of golden tomorrows."
In effect, what Haga is saying is that most of America is picnicking on the banks of hell and doesn't even know it.
Dr. Gary North's Remnant Review, [For subscription: $129/yr (410) 234-0691; international (410) 783-8440 writes in Vol. 26, No.5, May 7, 1999 issue (610), "if the power grid goes down and stays down, the death toll will dwarf those of World Wars I and II combined."
"Without electrical power, you cannot produce electrical power. If the grid dies completely, urban society will be without power for decades. It would collapse."
"The capital necessary to fund the re-creation of the grid is tied up in the grid. Electronic promises to pay [remember what Haga just said] become unenforceable the day the grid goes down. The West's capital will disappear into the digital void. The collapse of the banks will destroy most of the world's capital. Yes, the physical structures will remain, but capital today is mostly information and information requires electricity to sustain it."
Recall what we said earlier, trillions of dollars are transferred around the world electronically every day via telecommunications through banks, financial institutions, brokers, markets, and the like. What happens when America can't function financially with telecommunications throughout the world. Total Chaos!
And remember what Jim Lord said:
"Telecommunications is the Achilles Heel of the electrical grid. .... the electrical industry can't even test this critical component. .... There isn't enough time ... people .... The engineers don't have the training.....not enough equipment....no test plan."
"There is no doubt," Gary North continues in the May 7, 1999 issue, "that Western Civilization could be gone in just 12 months from now --- total social chaos leading to a new dark age."
"Remove electrical power for 60 days, and you won't get it back for 60 years. It takes power to generate power. It takes power to get fuel deliveries, sustain telecommunications, and produce spare parts.
"It takes power to get people to work. Remove electrical power completely for 60 days --- my estimate --- and the social infrastructure necessary to re-boot the grid will be gone. It will not come back in our lifetime. Those are the stakes. They are very high."
"While the knowledge of power will not all be lost, the capital to re-build the social order that gave us power would take decades to accumulate. Most people's wealth would disappear in the power failure. Any extra capital would then go to buy necessities."
With capital gone, because the government has lost the ability to print money, make cyber money, then, if the government stays up -- for a while at least -- then we foresee them cranking out of script.... and this depends upon them finding an old hand-operated printing press.
In Social Chaos Survival Guide by Jake Carson; Published by Sentinel Publications; 10660 S. Tryon St., Suite 16; Charlotte, NC 28273; 1999, the author writes:
"Since the 1960s, the US government has had emergency money sitting in warehouses. This money is designed to replace standard cash following a national crisis such as a nuclear war or serious earthquakes hitting simultaneously in various parts of the country. It is unclear as to whether standard money would remain legal tender or would be outlawed."
His feeling is the same as ours. A different money will probably be used. This puts the government in control. They "dole" where they want to .... and this is control when the absolute collapse comes. Other sources say the script is already here, and will be used. One source said it may be red money, different from what we are use to. Without it, you can't "buy, sell, or trade." ---Hmmmmm.
It's coming Folks!
Get prepared now. "Times a wasting."
With the power grid gone, you will see a mass kill off of people. The very, very old; the very, very sick; the very, very young. The mentally incapacitated too!
There are 139 Third World Countries behind in their Year 2000 endeavors, The World Bank has just revealed.
This is the bank whose membership consists of a large array of nations, including China. Loans are made directly to member governments or to private enterprise on condition that the government guarantee the loan. Funds from loans are used to support a variety of long-range projects in such fields as energy, agriculture, and transportation, with the overall aim of improving living standards.
Most of the member-nations of the World Bank, which is most of the world, is not Y2K ready! What does this mean to you--especially your money? Plenty! How? If your bank has ties to these Third World countries, and most do, then your money is sitting on a time-bomb--and we know the date for explosion.
It goes this way: Many of these countries that are not Y2K ready are vital trading partners with the America. What happens when they go down internally, that is, to their infrastructure. When they become disrupted, their economies tank, John Mauldin, Editor of Issue 3, February 25, 1999, Year 2000 Alert [Subscription: $98/yr (1-800-317-6278] contends---and he is right.
If those governments can't function, they can't produce the goods we need. This includes vital raw ingredients for "life-or-death drugs!" And, all importantly, they can not buy from us.
The Millennium Meltdown, by Howard Ruff, of The Ruff Times [1-800-773- 7833 for subscription and free copy of ... Meltdown], points out the following:
"But 70% of the world's insulin is produced in a computer-controlled manufacturing plant in the Netherlands.
"The world's diabetics are betting their lives that those computers won't crash at the stoke of midnight on New Years Eve, 1999.
"They're also gambling on the companies that supply that plant: The electrical utility ... bank ... phone company ... water provider ... sewage treatment facility ... raw materials suppliers ...
"They're counting on its distributors and their suppliers ...
"Their pharmacist and his suppliers ... and they're gambling on their own bank or insurance company --- and their suppliers --- in order to pay the bill."
However, the Houston Chronicle; Tuesday, March 23, 1999 says:
"At the Walgreen Co. drugstore chain .... executives are trying to figure out how to handle customers who may want to stock up on prescription drugs. 'We don't think there will be a problem with pharmaceutical supplies,' company spokesman Michael Polzin said. 'But people might think there's a problem, which causes the problem.'" --- Little do they know ... you are better informed than they. We hope they're right.
Mauldin further writes...
"We are the world's largest exporter of goods and services, with more than 12 million Americans in export related jobs."
We can see the problems generated from just that alone. However, we still have a trade deficit.
When this goes down, you can expect those countries that buy our goods to drop drastically, especially China. This entails major losses--big time-- for those U.S. companies that sell there. They will drown in a sea of red ink! They won't be able to shore up their loans with the banks, the hits to the stock market will be enormous too. Bankruptcies will soar. And you, the investor, will suffer if you have stocks or financial instruments connected in one form or another to these countries that are not Y2K ready.
And .... as you see, they "ain't" going to be ready ... period.
The four most populous countries are, in addition to China, ... India, Indonesia, and Russia. What your WebMasters see is the possibility of mass famine, and possible starvation from this Y2K problem, in addition to other things.
The reason is because of the domino and backlash effect. The money flow stops, goods and services are curtailed sharply too. This could precipitate a new Dark Ages for a while, as others are implying/predicting.
If you have an extended family in the Third World countries, they should be encouraged to store food; get gold and silver bullion coins. If you can help them do this, the better. It should be done immediately.
Mauldin says quite clearly, "... not one--of these countries have started their remediation efforts in any serious manner." He continues,
"Every single one --- plus dozens more--- will inevitably suffer disruptions in:
- government services,
- air transportation,
- telecommunications,
- utilities,
- food distribution"
Now, why does this generate a disaster for us? In a word, globalization. We are internationalists now. Our Wall Street investments could not have soared for the past ten years had it not been for being global. Banks and brokers have been stimulated because of this quality. ... and this has turned on the investor. However, we have been picnicking on the banks of hell and not even knowing it. The party is about over.
There you have it. If you are tied in, one way or another, through your bank, mutual funds, or personal investments, to overseas markets, you may stand to lose most or all of your money or wealth.
Only two of the developing 139 countries are on schedule to being Y2K ready, South Korea and Tunisia. And being on schedule is equivalent to saying "the United States is 'on schedule,' despite all the potential disasters we're uncovering," editor, John Mauldin says.
The World Bank survey points out that most of the world is not ready, and has not even picked up a pencil to start the preliminary work on Y2K. We only have 10 months to go, and it took Social Security ten years to become Y2K compliant.
China is not ready. Russia is not ready. Indonesia is not ready. Brazil is not ready; nor those countries that supply half of the oil to America, which are the OPEC countries in the Persian Gulf, South America, and Africa. This includes Mexico and Venezuela, who together supply 30% of the total U.S. oil, of which Venezuela supplies 17%. Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Venezuela are the top suppliers--they are the least prepared for Y2K.
And to make matters worse, Chevron--a U.S. oil company-- has now announced that it won't have all its systems fixed in time for the "Year 2000 business interruptions could prevent it from making and delivering refined products and producing
oil and gas," researcher, Martin D. Weiss, Publisher, announcers (others have too) in his February 23, 1999, Special Supplement.
Writing in Year 2000 Alert, February 23, 1999, Weiss points out this American oil company "has spent hundreds of millions of dollars on fixing its Y2K problem!" And, they still have problems. "What will happen to big oil suppliers in Third World Countries that do not have sufficient capital to fix their problems?"
The January 21, 1999, Washington Post shows deep concern, when it writes, "the 'Y2K bug' could disrupt maritime shipping, air transportation, oil supplies and other sectors of world trade." And, most oil tankers, according to the U.S. Coast Guard, will slow oil delivery due to Y2K problems because the tankers practically all have elegant computer systems that automate the ship, and they are susceptible to the Y2K bug.
What happened in April? A pre-panic and then suddenly it stopped. The pre-panic was a rush to buy gold and silver, stock-up on stored foods, buy generators, and develop covenant community relationships---all this with regard to the Y2K problem. This had actually been going on for several months previous. Now, for the most part, it has stopped. Your WebMasters' observation is that the people are being lulled by the press via various organizations and the government that Y2K will be nothing more than "a bump in the road."
How is this being done? First, people want to believe in the best; that is to say, that their lives will not be affected, or only minorly, with the Y2K--- oh, they forget about the coming Total Collapse of the stock market---if they even heard of it---and most have not even considered it possible because our schools have taught that a Great Depression can never happen again:
"During the 1950s and '60s, it became policy in the schools to teach children that we will never have another depression. Supposedly, the Employment Act of 1946, the FDIC, Federal Reserve and other government agencies all insure that a depression cannot happen." [Source: The Clipper Ship Strategy, p. 115; Richard J. Maybury, 1997; Bluestocking Press: 1-916-621-1123].
They also have not even considered the solar phenomena coming. Sooo...what's going on? Well, here it is:
"Three-quarters of the stocks of CBS, ABC, and NBC are held not by individuals but by banks. Bank of America, Citibank, Bankers Trust, Chase Manhattan, and Morgan Guaranty Trust hold these stocks; these banks appoint the representatives who sit on the boards of the major networks [underscoring WebMasters].
Just eight corporations control most of what you might see or hear on the airwaves in the way of news in many urban areas; these corporations control the three major television networks (CBS, NC, ABC), own some 40 subsidiary TV stations, control over 200 cable TV systems and have more than 60 radio stations.
[Source: Phil Hunter, Free From Big Brother's Media: How to Regain the Truth in a World of Lies, Wave Publications, Colleyville, TX, 1998; published in Social Chaos Survival Guide by Jake Carson; Published by Sentinel Publications; 10660 S. Tryon St., Suite 16; Charlotte, NC 28273; 1999.]
Jake Carson also writes:
"The same eight corporations have also covered the print industry. They control 59 magazines (including Time and Newsweek), have chains of newspapers (including the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Los Angeles Times, and the Washington Post). They also command 41 book publishers and a few other media enterprises thrown in for good measures. [Sources: Ibid.]
Now.... are you beginning to get the big picture as to why you are not being told the truth about the banking industry in regard to the Y2K? --- it's not in their interest to do so. Everything you're reading on these pages should begin to speak to you. There's more, lets see .... oh, yes, on the Y2K government website, www.y2k.gov describes "a Senior Advisors Group."
Their job: to advise the government on the best way to handle the Y2K situation. They consist of over 20 distinct organizations. To name a few: American Banker's Association, Grocery Manufacturers of America as well as the American Association of Railroads---and you know the problem the railroads are in with regard to Y2K, non-compliant.
On April 8, 1999, Reuters says:
"Information is being touted as the most potent weapon in the battle to prevent a possible year end run on banks, gas stations and mutual funds, and the media is seen as a critically powerful force in shaping public behavior.
"At a recent Media Studies Center Forum in New York called 'Y2K: The Press and Preventing Panic,' two of Washington's leading Y2K trouble-shooters urged reporters to be generous with reassuring news and helpful advice on do's and don'ts. 'The issue to deal with is panic. The issue is overreaction ... that's where the risks are,' John Koskinen, ... said."
It appears that to John Koskinen, the Y2K is no more than a perception problem and the government, large institutions, and the media must change this to no more than a "bump in the road." Y2K is not a computer problem, at least to the Y2K Czar---it's only an illusion.
"People think," according to the May 7, 1999, issue of Gary North's Remnant Review [for subscription, see above] "a worldwide crisis is solved because of press releases. They desperately want to believe in the press releases, and so they do."
Let's recall again researcher Weiss' statement about the banks now that you have the immediate above information:
In his February 23, 1999, newsletter, Weiss flat calls the FDIC, that says the national banking industry "... is just fine," liars. He says "they're lying through their teeth," and he now has the evidence to back it up. ---see beginning paragraphs.
Capers Jones, a leading Y2K consultant on software research, and head of Software Productivity Research, said over two years ago that 78% of the worlds computer code is not in America, but outside the U.S. Even if the U.S. were or could be come 100% compliant, most foreign countries are not. America, as the rest of the world, is no longer nationalistic, but globalistic---it is international.
America interfaces with the 78% of the other computer code that is not in the U.S, but outside and connects daily with it. And most are not Y2K ready! What do you think this will do if the rest of the world's computers don't make it, and it looks like most will not. They will crash our system in America.
This seemingly trivial, but extremely important fact is so simple in effect but so terrible in consequences, it is not comprehended by the American public emotionally.
Editor, John Mauldin, writing in Year 2000 Alert, April 9, 1999, Issue 5 (For Subscription: 1-800-317-6278; $98/yr.) says:
"A main-board director of leading French bank said, 'The year 2000 question is a conspiracy cooked up by the Americans and the British [WebMaster's emphasis] to create a smoke screen and distract attention away from preparations for the single European currency.' The situation in Russia and China is even worse than in Europe."
This report comes from the U.S. Senate Report entitled, The Senate Special Committe on the Year
2000 Technology Problem, chaired by Senators Robert Bennett (R-Utah) and Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.) page 128.)
"The Year 2000 doesn't exist in Italy. You try to raise the awareness in Italy, you speak to people, you show them the evidence, the reports from the U.S., but somehow it's impossible for Italians to believe this is serious. They think that we'll find a way to fix it at the last minute." --Paolo Tedone, Vice president of a Milan Software company.
Another leading magazine has this to say on Russia and Italy:
"Not long ago, Russia (along with China and several other key nations wasn't very worried about Y2K. A couple of months and maybe half a billion dollars and they'd have it licked, they figured.
"They changed their tune. The official directing Russia's Y2K efforts said they underestimated the problem and that 'We're in a critical situation in several areas,' including the Defense Ministry, which controls Russia's nuclear weapons.
"On February 3 he appealed to NATO and the U.S. Defense Department for advice and money, for a problem that is now expected to cost six times the original estimate: $3 billion." ---Source: Countryside, Countdown to Y2K. Part VI, Vol. 83. No.3 May/June, 1999. Subscriptions: $18/yr. 1-800-551-5691.
Re: Italy
"On Feb. 14, 320 days before 01/01/00, that country appointed an unpaid panel to study the problem, naming Ernesto Bettinelli of the University of Padua as head of the group.
"He said he'd get right on it ... as soon as he finished correcting mid-term exams." ---Ibid.
Yes, folks! The more we delve into this Y2K mess, the more tangled it becomes and the more we see we are picniking on the banks of hell and don't even know it!
Jim Lord, writing in Y2K Reality Watch (Subscription: $129/1-602-252-4477], Vol. 3 No. 1, January, 1999 (www.SurviveY2K.com) says:
"What is the possibility of a large-scale failure of Wall Street's computing systems? Fairly remote is my guess but I can tell you what they are worried about. It is not their computers. It is the electrical utility, the telephone company, the banks (both foreign and domestic) and foreign stock exchanges. Most of all it is the massive interconnection of these systems."
Our sources say the opposite .... "Wall Street is not telling us the truth ...," we are told. True, they are worried about the electrical utilities, the telephones, banks--domestic and world-wide, and the interconnectivity of the stock exchanges. The Ruff Times, Vol XXV, Issue 9; (US $50, 801-489-8681) March 15, 1999, supports us when he writes ....
"Remember: The world is a bubble waiting to pop, and Y2k is the pin.
"The financial-services industry is running test on three Saturdays in March and one Saturday in
April. They are simulating transactions that will take place just before and just after January 1. The first test has been completed.
"The term 'industry-wide' is an exaggeration, as out of the thousands of financial-services firms, only 400 are taking part.
"The test are carefully scripted and designed to not fail [Folks! We call this deception!---they're not telling us the truth]. We are told there were some bugs the first weekend, but we were not told which firms had the problems. In fact, one condition for participating in the test is that there will be no disclosure of the names of the firms that fall short.
"They are simulating buys, sells, and delivery of proceeds and stock as they would happen as we move into the next century.
"The financial-services industry is way ahead of most industries, and a successful test---if we can find out the real truth---will tell us a lot about whether our candidates for good Y2k investments will include truly liquid securities.
"If the test doesn't go well, the odds are that they won't get things fixed in time, and you had better plan your life without a securities industry for some unpredictable period of time."
Ladies and gentlemen, we are banking our monies, our wealth, our future, our children's future on erroneous facts, and there will be hell to pay. We are picnicking on the banks of hell and don't even know it!
You know what's coming....you know what to do....you've seen the facts....you'd better ... Do It Now.
New, additional information is continually added throughout the document. It is added in appropriate places. When you see the following, you must re-read the document for updates ... To Be Continued ....
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